An independent weather forecaster and Higgins Storm Chasing are both saying a weather system in the Gulf of Carpentaria will develop into a cyclone by the end of this week, bring more much needed rain to the region.
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There is a tropical low in the Arafura Sea head south-west towards the Gulf of Carpentaria.
Melbourne based independent weather forecaster Dennis Luke said the system would approach Mornington Island and would head south towards the NT / Queensland land border.
“It will probably finish up as a three over the ocean but as it comes inland it will drop to a two or a one,” Mr Luke said.
“Because of the system itself having not as much wind, there is quite a bit of rain in the system so it’s showing there is probably a good drop for some of the stations around Mount Isa, maybe 10 or 20 mms.”
Mr Luke said the system would get to north-north-west of Mount Isa where it would turn west and head towards Gallipoli station across the border in Northern Territory.
Higgins Storm Chasing said a significant cyclone is currently forecast to develop by a majority of global models and it could heavily impact Queensland and the Northern Territory later this week.
On Tuesday a tropical low is located North of Thursday Island along the trough which was forecast to move West into the Arafura Sea during the next few days.
The cyclone once developed will be named Nora by the Bureau of Meteorology.
The Bureau confirmed a tropical low was developing north of Nhulunbuy in the Arafura Sea.
“While the tropical low will initially move towards the west or southwest, it is expected to turn eastwards, towards the Gulf of Carpentaria, early on Thursday morning before taking a more southeasterly path on Friday,” the BoM said.